Road to WW2 · CHAPTER 12 ·
Pearl Harbor and US entry into WW2
Chapter 12 of The Road to War, 1931–1941: “Pearl Harbor: The Roads Meet”
On 7 December 1941 Japanese carrier aircraft struck Pearl Harbor, killing 2,403 Americans and sinking or damaging eight battleships, but they missed the carriers, fuel stores and repair yards. Japan hit Malaya and the Philippines simultaneously. Four days after the US declared war on Japan, Hitler declared war on the US.
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The map above is the world of East Asia and the Pacific, December 1941 — Pearl Harbor — the world war.
Every state on the map that year: The world in 1942 · Europe in 1942.
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SHORT EXPLANATION
Japan’s attack on Pearl Harbor was part of a much larger operation. In December 1941 its forces struck British Malaya, the American-held Philippines and other Western positions while aircraft attacked the American fleet in Hawaii. Japan sought the oil and other resources of Southeast Asia. Its leaders hoped to protect those conquests behind a fortified perimeter and make the United States judge recovery too costly.
The raid surprised the defenders and crippled the battleships, but the carriers were away and the fuel stores and repair yards survived. It also united Americans behind war rather than encouraging a settlement. On 11 December Germany declared war on the United States, although its treaty with Japan did not require it. The crises that began in Manchuria and Europe had joined in a global war against a coalition with far greater productive resources.
The full story
On 26 November 1941, six Japanese carriers departed Hitokappu Bay while negotiations continued in Washington. Eleven days later, on 7 December, their aircraft reached Pearl Harbor. The two waves, comprising 353 aircraft, killed 2,403 Americans and sank or damaged eight battleships. The attackers had crossed the Pacific undetected and achieved devastating surprise.
The damage did not put the base out of action. American carriers were absent, the fuel stores and repair yards survived, and much of the damaged fleet could be recovered. The raid nevertheless served an immediate purpose: Japan was striking Malaya, the Philippines and other positions almost simultaneously, and its advance toward Southeast Asian oil would begin with the American battle fleet disabled.
Admiral Yamamoto had argued that the fleet must be kept from interfering with that southern operation. He also warned that he could run wild for only six months or a year. Japan’s longer strategy required more than early victories: its leaders hoped to fortify their conquests and persuade the United States that recovering them would cost too much. Pearl Harbor had the opposite political effect. It ended American uncertainty about entering the war.
American commanders had expected war, chiefly in Southeast Asia. Near Hawaii, radar and submarine warnings failed to produce readiness in time. The United States declared war on Japan on 8 December; on 11 December Hitler declared war on America, although the Tripartite Pact did not oblige him to do so. His decision made Roosevelt’s Europe-first strategy politically easier. The separate roads of expansion had joined in a global coalition war, and the Axis now faced industrial resources it could not match over a prolonged conflict.
FULL EXPLANATION
Operational success, strategic failure
The raid’s immediate task was difficult and largely successful. Japanese carriers crossed a great distance without detection, and their aircraft used torpedoes adapted for shallow water. Damage to American battleships reduced a threat to the opening of Japan’s southern campaign. Success in the larger war required a further step. Japanese leaders hoped rapid conquest, followed by a fortified perimeter, would make the United States consider reconquest too costly and negotiate. Yet most damaged battleships could be recovered, the carriers were away, and the fuel and repair facilities survived. The attack also strengthened American resolve. Yamamoto’s warning that he could operate freely for only six months points to the question the strategy had to answer: how could Japan secure a settlement before American industry brought its full strength to bear? An operation could meet its immediate objective while damaging the political prospect on which the larger plan depended.
From warning to readiness
American officials knew that diplomacy with Japan was near collapse and expected war. They had no reliable intelligence identifying Pearl Harbor as the target, and looked chiefly toward Southeast Asia. In Hawaii, commanders were also concerned about sabotage. These expectations shaped what they did with the information that arrived. Radar detected the incoming aircraft, but the contact was taken for an expected American flight. A destroyer’s report of a submarine traveled too slowly through command channels to affect the response. Information had to be collected, interpreted and acted on; accomplishing one step did not ensure the next. The intercept record does not support claims that Roosevelt knowingly allowed the attack. Fragmented responsibilities and expectations about Japan’s likely target help explain how warning failed to become readiness.
Key places on the map
On this day
Why it happened
The oil clock ran out. The August freeze described in Chapter 10 made oil stocks a measure of time as well as supply. Japanese planners expected their capacity for war to decline as those stocks fell. On 6 September the Imperial Conference set a sequence: negotiate until October, then decide on war. Konoe sought a summit, but Washington wanted prior concessions on China. His government fell, and Tōjō inherited the timetable. Hull’s note on 26 November marked a decisive diplomatic breakdown, yet the fleet had sailed that morning. The calculation about fuel had already put the operation in motion.
Yamamoto’s wager against his own judgment. Yamamoto knew the United States from Harvard and service as naval attaché in Washington. He opposed war with it, telling Konoe that he could “run wild for six months or a year,” but had no confidence thereafter. His Pearl Harbor plan began with a conditional judgment: if Japan went to war, the American battle fleet must be prevented from disrupting the southern offensive. A spectacular blow might also discourage a long American struggle. The first aim gave the attack an immediate military purpose; the second required a political response that Yamamoto himself had reason to doubt. His warning left the problem of what Japan could accomplish after the first months.
Washington expected war — somewhere else. On 27 November American warnings went to Pacific commands. Officials had read Japanese diplomatic communications through MAGIC and expected war, with the Philippines or Malaya considered likely targets. Hawaii seemed distant, its water too shallow for torpedoes, and such an attack too audacious. Tokyo had studied Taranto (Ch. 11) more carefully. Oahu’s radar detected the incoming formation 132 miles away. The duty officer believed it was a flight of B-17s expected from California. The instrument supplied a contact; the explanation given to it prevented that contact from becoming an effective warning.
Hitler chose the world war. The Tripartite Pact required assistance to Japan if it were attacked. Japan had attacked the United States, so Germany had no treaty obligation to declare war. Hitler chose to do so on 11 December. His Reichstag speech and table talk suggest his reasoning: U-boats were already fighting American convoy escorts in an undeclared naval war, and Japan might occupy the United States in the Pacific for years. His racial contempt for a “mongrel” nation also led him to underestimate American capacity. His decision joined the wars represented on the atlas’s separate maps.
THE TURNING POINT
Pearl Harbor, 7:48 a.m., 7 December 1941. The ships at Pearl Harbor tell only part of the result: most damaged battleships eventually returned to service. The change in American opinion was faster. On 6 December the America First Committee claimed 800,000 members, and the draft extension had passed the House by one vote. After the attack, opposition to entering the war lost its political force. Japan had hoped a wounded America might negotiate. Instead the attack gave the United States a mandate to fight and mobilize an economy that built more aircraft in 1944 alone than Japan produced during the entire war. Since Mukden, aggressors had repeatedly gambled that their opponents would accept expansion rather than bear the cost of resistance. At Pearl Harbor that expectation failed decisively.
What it changed
The perimeter, then the tide. Japan’s advance continued for roughly the six months Yamamoto had described. Malaya, Singapore in February 1942, the Indies and the Philippines fell; Singapore was a particularly severe imperial capitulation. Then the Battle of the Coral Sea checked an advance in May. At Midway in June, American carriers absent from Pearl Harbor helped sink four of the six Japanese carriers that had attacked it. The WW2 atlas takes up the war that this atlas ends by beginning.
The arsenal opens both doors. Roosevelt could pursue “Europe first” more easily with public support after Germany’s declaration. Lend-Lease was already supplying Britain and the USSR, and became a means of sustaining the global coalition. By war’s end the program had provided about $50 billion in matériel, including Studebaker trucks used by the Soviet Union and food shipped to Britain.
Asia’s empires never come back. The tan across the southern half of the map represents empires whose authority Japan’s victories shook. An Asian power had defeated European colonial forces in weeks. After 1945 European governments attempted to restore their rule, but India became independent in 1947 and Indonesia in 1949; Indochina followed after wars covered in the Cold War atlas. Japan’s conquest was defeated, yet the imperial world it attacked did not survive unchanged.
DISCUSSION QUESTION — “A date which will live in infamy” — was Pearl Harbor a surprise attack, or a foreseen war at a surprising place?
War with Japan was expected in Washington. For two decades American planners had studied it under War Plan Orange; officials read Japanese diplomatic traffic and sent explicit warnings ten days before the attack. But expecting war did not tell commanders where the blow would fall. The intercepts did not name Hawaii, and the decrypt record has not supported claims that Roosevelt knew Pearl Harbor would be attacked. Officials looked chiefly toward Southeast Asia. In Hawaii, concern about sabotage shaped dispositions, and the radar contact was explained as friendly aircraft. The congressional inquiry filled 39 volumes; its evidence points to failures in a system rather than a hidden hand. The distinction matters: a warning that war is likely must be interpreted as an expectation about a particular threat, and people must then act on it. Neither step happens automatically.
An interesting fact
At 6:37 a.m., before the aircraft arrived, USS Ward attacked and sank a Japanese midget submarine near the harbor entrance. Its report was still passing up the chain of command when the first wave arrived. Reservists from St. Paul, Minnesota, served in the gun crew; their No. 3 gun now stands on the Minnesota capitol grounds. Exactly three years later, on 7 December 1944, Ward, then a fast transport, was hit by a kamikaze off Leyte and had to be scuttled. USS O’Brien fired the shots. Its commander that day had commanded Ward at Pearl Harbor.
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