Mao’s China · 1976
Should Mao be judged by what he built or what it cost?
The seminar question: “Should Mao’s rule be judged chiefly by what it built or by what it cost?”
Mao died in 1976 after twenty-seven years in which his party-state reached every village, unified China and raised life expectancy, but also produced the famine and the Cultural Revolution. Estimated deaths from his campaigns and the famine range from about 17 to 50 million; the Gang of Four fell on 6 October 1976.
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Mao’s government could carry its decisions from the center to the villages. The Party had local organizations; campaigns enlisted citizens to accuse and police one another; and the army was loyal to the leader. This was a party-state, a system in which one party controls government at every level, rather as a company owner appoints every manager. It unified China and raised life expectancy. Yet the same reach carried disastrous decisions downward. Nothing inside the system could stop an error at the top, whether in the famine or in Mao’s assault on his own party, the Cultural Revolution, beginning in 1966.
The short answer
- A succession Mao never settled. Liu Shaoqi and Lin Biao had both been chosen as successors and then destroyed by Mao. In his final years he balanced radicals against veterans without allowing either camp to win. He selected Hua Guofeng in 1976 because Hua belonged to neither. But no institution had authority to choose between the factions after Mao died. With no established rule for passing power, control of the guards and army decided the succession.
- Zhou Enlai’s death and popular anger. Zhou Enlai stood for moderation and competence to many Chinese. After his death in January 1976, radical attempts to restrict mourning angered millions. At Qingming in April, wreaths and poems in Tiananmen Square praised Zhou and Deng and attacked Jiang Qing. Mourning offered a form of political expression the system could not easily forbid, and the protest showed how many people blamed the radicals for a decade of chaos and wanted it to end.
- Veterans who had survived the purges. The fall of Lin Biao brought officials purged in 1966–68 back to work, including Deng Xiaoping. Army elders such as Marshal Ye Jianying, sidelined since 1967, also regained influence. They distrusted the radicals and controlled much of the army, making them ready to act after Mao’s death. Deng had already demonstrated in 1975 what restoring order might mean in the railways, steel industry and army. These veterans made a different future possible.
- Exhaustion after a decade of campaigns. By 1976 output was falling, universities barely functioned, and sent-down youth wanted to return home. A decade of campaigns had exhausted the people expected to sustain them; campaigns of the 1970s such as “Criticise Lin Biao, Criticise Confucius” drew little enthusiasm. Struggle meetings, the public denunciations used in every campaign, had become wearisome. Many Party officials had been both perpetrators and victims, and wanted security more than revolution. Post-Mao leaders had broad support for ending the campaigns.
THE TURNING POINT
6 October 1976. The Gang of Four were detained at a Politburo meeting on 6 October 1976. Hua Guofeng, Ye Jianying and Wang Dongxing used the leadership’s guard unit to make the arrests; the radicals’ Shanghai base stood down within days. No mass movement or shot was needed to end the Maoist project. The coup opened the way for Deng’s return and the reforms of 1978, and showed where power in Mao’s system had always rested: in the army and security forces, whatever the language of mass revolution claimed.
What it changed
The communes dismantled. At Xiaogang and elsewhere, secret contracts from 1978 returned responsibility for plots to individual households. The communes, Mao’s central rural institution, were abolished by 1984. Once households could keep what they grew above the quota, grain output rose sharply; rural incomes grew faster in the early 1980s than in any period under Mao. The Party had returned to household farming that Mao rejected in 1962. Reform began in the province where the famine had been worst.
Verdicts reversed. The new leadership reversed some verdicts against Mao’s victims. The “rightists” labeled in 1957 were rehabilitated from 1978; Liu Shaoqi was cleared posthumously in 1980. The Gang of Four were tried on television in 1980–81, and Jiang Qing’s death sentence was commuted to life imprisonment. Famine victims received no comparable public acknowledgment and the archives remain restricted. The state chose which victims it could afford to remember.
A generation comes home. At the end of 1977 close to nine million sent-down youth, urban young people sent to villages after 1968, remained in the countryside. Most returned between 1978 and 1980, but the cities lacked jobs for all of them. The state allowed small private shops and stalls, the first private enterprise since the 1950s. Others passed the university examination restored in 1977 and entered the professions. This generation supplied the reform era’s first private traders and first graduates.
Mao still on the gate. Mao remains prominent in places where the state honors him: his portrait hangs above Tiananmen, his face appears on every regular banknote issued since 1999, and his body lies in a mausoleum on the square. Millions visit his birthplace, Shaoshan, each year. This official remembrance is selective, and his legacy remains contested inside and outside China.
The full answer, argued
The achievements are substantial. Mao’s rule left a country unified after a century of division, heavy industry and nuclear weapons, widespread literacy, life expectancy raised by roughly twenty-five years, and a state strong enough to support growth after 1978. The cost was also immense. Campaigns and famine killed about 17 million to 50 million people, most in a famine caused by policy, and persecuted tens of millions more. Dikötter and Chang and Halliday put the cost first; Meisner and Short give achievements more weight. Walder’s account of the party-state and Drèze and Sen’s comparison with India direct attention to the system that produced both gains and deaths. That matters for the judgment. Neither achievement nor death can simply be offered as the price of the other. Many later achievements, from rural health to industry, were attained elsewhere without famine. The regime had real capacity, but lacked the accountability needed to correct its decisions. Power without correction magnified both success and error.
An interesting fact
Each year before National Day on 1 October, the portrait above the Gate of Heavenly Peace is replaced with a freshly painted copy. It is about six metres high and weighs around one and a half tonnes; Ge Xiaoguang has painted the copies since 1977. In 1980 Italian journalist Oriana Fallaci asked Deng Xiaoping whether the portrait would remain, as reformers reconsidered Mao’s record. Deng said it would stay forever: Mao had founded the Party and state, and his mistakes did not cancel that.
This is the study layer of Death and legacy of Mao Zedong, chapter 12 of The People’s Republic under Mao, 1949–1976; the full index of the atlas is here.
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